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🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ1,807 | |
2 | Ṁ1,249 | |
3 | Ṁ563 | |
4 | Ṁ468 | |
5 | Ṁ175 |

Those answers’ colors:
Washington is blue (should be purple)
Texas is purple (should be burnt orange)
Alabama is red
Michigan is burnt orange (should be blue)
I can’t wait for Manifold to have customizable colors for multiple code markets.


The total probability is well below 1200%.

I'd like to point out here that a maximum of four teams will qualify, while the combined probability of all the answers currently exceeds 400% by quite a bit.
So, at the moment of this comment being posted, a purely naive approach of Ṁ190 spent as Ṁ10 NO on each of the 19 current options returns a minimum payout of approximately Ṁ204 (if Georgia, Michigan, Florida State, and Washington all resolve YES), and a maximum of approximately Ṁ338 (in the unlikely event the four qualifiers are all teams not among these 19).
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