In two recent polls, when likely voters were asked who will win the US presidential election (not who they will vote for), respondents picked Harris by double digit margins.

From the Washington Post:

An AP-NORC poll released Thursday showed voters said by double digits (38-28) that they expect Harris to win. That’s reversed from shortly after her entry into the race in late July, when voters said by double digits (56-42) that Trump would win.


An Economist-YouGov poll released Wednesday showed much the same thing. Voters by double digits (42-32) expected Harris to win, after saying so by just three points in YouGov polling last month and saying by 19 points that Trump would win back in July.

Resolves YES if a reputable polling source publishes a result showing more people believe Donald Trump will win the election, NO otherwise.