Resolves NO if she resigns, is fired, dies, or never takes office as UN Ambassador.

• Update 2025-02-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Update:

  • YES: Resolves YES if Elise Stefanik serves continuously as UN Ambassador from her confirmation until the end of Trump’s term.

  • NA: Resolves NA if she fails to get Senate confirmation.

• Update 2025-03-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on 'Never Takes Office':

  • If Elise Stefanik fails to obtain Senate confirmation (and therefore never takes office), the market resolves NA.

  • If she is confirmed but for any reason never takes office (or leaves without serving), the market resolves NO.

• Update 2025-06-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified the resolution for the scenario where Elise Stefanik is not confirmed by the Senate and therefore never takes office:

  • In this situation, the market will resolve NA.

  • This interpretation of 'fails to obtain Senate confirmation' (leading to NA) applies even if confirmation is not achieved due to reasons such as the nomination being withdrawn or not proceeding to a vote, rather than solely a direct Senate rejection vote.

  • In cases where the failure to take office is due to lack of Senate confirmation, this NA resolution takes precedence over the original market description's 'never takes office' clause (which would otherwise lead to NO).