Will Blake Lively file a workplace harassment lawsuit before the end of 2025?
Basic
3
Ṁ45
2026
50%
chance

Background

Blake Lively has filed a complaint with the California Civil Rights Department against Justin Baldoni, his production studio Wayfarer, and other associated individuals. The complaint alleges sexual harassment during the filming of "It Ends With Us" and subsequent retaliation after reporting the incidents. Baldoni and his team have denied all allegations, calling them "completely false, outrageous and intentionally salacious."

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve YES if Blake Lively files a formal lawsuit in superior court following her complaint with the California Civil Rights Department. The market will resolve NO if by the resolution date:

  • The complaint is withdrawn

  • The matter is settled before a lawsuit is filed

  • No lawsuit is filed

  • The complaint is dismissed without a lawsuit being filed

Note that the filing of the civil rights complaint itself does not constitute a lawsuit for the purposes of this market. Only a formal court filing will qualify for a YES resolution.

Considerations

  • Filing a complaint with the California Civil Rights Department is a required prerequisite step before filing a lawsuit in superior court

  • The timeline from civil rights complaint to potential lawsuit can vary significantly depending on the investigation and any settlement negotiations

  • Public statements or media coverage about the complaint should not be confused with the actual filing of a lawsuit

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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