Will a large AI company (e.g. OpenAI) acquire an inference-focused AI chip compnay in the next 12 months?
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resolved Oct 11
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YES

Taken from the State of AI Report 2023.

  1. As inference workloads and costs grow significantly, a large AI company (e.g. OpenAI) acquires an inference-focused AI chip company.

This question will be resolved based on the resolution of the 2024 report.

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Holy moly, they really streched their predictions thiiiin, if they would be be honest there would be 2 YES, one MIXED and the rest would be NO. Well, resolution criteria were clear I forgot that they can lie in a report.

@MADGAMBLER6969 They also changed "As inference workloads and costs grow significantly, a large AI company (e.g. OpenAI) acquires an inference-focused AI chip company." to "As inference workloads and costs grow significantly, a large AI company (e.g. OpenAI) acquires or builds an inference-focused AI chip company. Unserious group.

[EDIT] I don't think they did? It's the same in this year's and the previous year's presentations, but why did manifold title omit build then? (webarchive is ddosed I can't double check).

Edge compute seem different than what I'd normally think of as inference compute but it's possible they'll count it.

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