Will William MacAskill win the bet he places on this question?
Basic
9
Ṁ196Jan 1
61%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Question resolves positively if William MacAskill wins the bet that he places on this question. Question resolves negatively if William MacAskill loses the bet that he places on this question.
In the event of paradox, I will reach out to logician Graham Priest to adjudicate.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will xQc win his bet with Dan Saltman?
31% chance
Will Steven N Austad win his bet against Jay Olshansky on whether there will be a 150 year old human by 2150?
78% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky lose his bet with Unknown?
72% chance
Will William MacAskill go lion hunting by the end of 2024
5% chance
Will Ben Goldhaber win his provably unpickable lock bet
18% chance
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet with Matthew Barnett on whether an AI can pass his exams in 2029?
7% chance
Will Steve Kirsch win their bet with Rootclaim over vaccine deaths?
13% chance
Will @MarcusAbramovitch win the $900-$100 bet vs @RobertCousineau about Threads not overtaking X/Twitter in DAU by 2025?
95% chance