Will Tiffany Smiley Receive at least 42% of the votes in the 2022 WA Senate election?

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resolved Nov 19

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Sep 5, 9:16pm: ~~Will Tiffany Smiley Receive at least 42% of the votes in the 2022 WA state Senate election?~~ → Will Tiffany Smiley Receive at least 42% of the votes in the 2022 WA Senate election?

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US Politics

US 2022 Midterms

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This shouldn’t be resolved just yet, since only 90% of the votes have been counted.

@JoshuaB I'm fully aware of that

FiveThirtyEight has the median being 42.7% so 59 for this market seems…about right?

@Conflux https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/?cid=rrpromo

Smiley is running for U.S. Senate, not state Senate.

@arae Yep, this.

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