Ukraine conducts another Trojan-style attack before 2026?
23
1kṀ1518
Dec 31
75%
chance
10

On June 1, 2025, Ukraine executed 'Operation Spider's Web,' a large-scale drone strike targeting Russian air bases deep within Russian territory. (axios.com) This operation involved covertly deploying drones from within Russia, marking a significant escalation in Ukraine's military tactics. This market resolves to 'Yes' if Ukraine conducts another similar covert operation targeting Russian military assets before 2026. Resolution will be based on credible reports from reputable news outlets.

  • Update 2025-06-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The scale of a 'similar covert operation' is not a determining factor for resolution. An operation qualifies regardless of its scale, provided it meets the other criteria outlined in the market description (such as being covert, Trojan-style, targeting Russian military assets, and reported by credible news sources).

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Similar but small scale counts, right?

@JussiVilleHeiskanen if it's reported by few credible news sources, it counts regardless of scale

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy