Will Alireza Firouzja play in the 2024 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
28
450
2024
34%
chance

This resolves positively if Firouzja is able to qualify and play in the 2024 FIDE Candidates Tournament:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Candidates_Tournament_2024

If Firouzja qualifies for but declines to partipate in the tournament, it will resolve negatively.

If Firouzja is selected by FIDE as a replacement in the tournament, without qualifying directly, this will still resolve positively.

This market closes at the start of the candidates tournament. If Firouzja, somehow, participates in the tournament and is paired in the first round, but never manages to play a match due to sickness, protest, or other factors, it will resolve negatively. This market will resolve negatively after the first round of the tournament occuring without Firouzja being a listed player, or positively upon Firouzja playing a match in the tournament.

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nicwest06d6 avatar
nic westbought Ṁ100 of NO

Giri currently in position to qualify via the grand chess tour and So via rating (very fine margin of error though).

nicwest06d6 avatar
nic westpredicts NO

@nicwest06d6 there's a world where So comes second in the grand chess tour (currently winning the Sinquefield cup, Fabi is already qualified), Firouzja qualifies on rating and Giri gets left out in the cold

benshindel avatar
Ben Shindelsold Ṁ50 of NO

The bots have found this market, lol