Will the protest at the Cambridge Union's event with the OpenAI CEO turn out to be organized by ControlAI?
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May 2
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ControlAI have been organizing highly public campaigns to share their concerns on extinction risk of AI. There has been a newspaper article, a newspaper ad, ads in the London Underground, a blimp, and Paul-on-a-U-Haul. (Christiano.) There is probably more that the author of this market is not aware of.

During this period there was also a short protest at a Cambridge Union event with the CEO of OpenAI Sam Altman (photos, video).

By May 1st, will strong evidence come out that ControlAI organized or directly funded this protest? This could include the ControlAI organizers saying so, or the protestors saying so, or something else that indisputably links them (such that my personal credence is >85%).

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This was a group of people from Cambridge University and PauseAI UK. The intention was to have a collaboration protest between AI ethics (Cambridge) and AI safety (PauseAI) people. PauseAI decided not to make this an official protest under the PauseAI brand as it was not our initiative and we did not get final call over the messaging (and I did not entirely agree with the written statement). I broadly endorse the protest and believes that as a calm, silent demonstration, it did not limit Sam Altman's freedom of expression.

Source: I am an organizer of the Cambridge protest and PauseAI.

@JosephMiller0e84 Thank you for the answer.

I haven't thought about the question much, but my current sense is that I too strongly prefer non-disruptive protests that make it clear that there is social and political opposition without directly obstructing the events.

And thanks for organizing PauseAI protests — I participated in the SF one.

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