Will GPT-5.2's METR 50% time horizon exceed 3 hours 30 minutes?
10
100Ṁ3252027
81%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Whatever version of GPT-5.2 scores the best on the METR time horizon is the version of GPT-5.2 relevant to this market. That could be a future 5.2 codex model or the current model as it is.
3 hours 30 minutes exactly would resolve no.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Opus 4.5's METR time horizon beats Gemini 3.0 Pro's?
87% chance
Will GPT-5.2 surpass 3 hours in METR time horizon?
88% chance
Gemini 3 Pro Preview METR 50% time horizon
Gemini 3 Pro METR 50% time horizon
Grok 4.2 METR 50% time horizon
Gemini 3.0 Pro outperforms GPT-5 on METR 50% time horizon?
85% chance
Grok 5 METR 50% time horizon
Will GPT-5.1 have a longer METR time horizon than Gemini 3?
14% chance
Claude Sonnet 4.6 METR 50% time horizon
R2 METR 50% time horizon