Will GPT-5.2's METR 50% time horizon exceed 3 hours 30 minutes?
12
Ṁ100Ṁ1.1kresolved Feb 5
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Whatever version of GPT-5.2 scores the best on the METR time horizon is the version of GPT-5.2 relevant to this market. That could be a future 5.2 codex model or the current model as it is.
3 hours 30 minutes exactly would resolve no.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ94 | |
| 2 | Ṁ30 | |
| 3 | Ṁ27 | |
| 4 | Ṁ8 | |
| 5 | Ṁ8 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will GPT-5.4 outperform Claude Opus 4.6 at METR 50% time horizon?
39% chance
GPT 5.2 Pro METR time horizon
GPT 5.4 METR 50% time horizon
Grok 4.20 METR 50% time horizon
Gemini 3.1 Pro METR 50% time horizon
Claude Sonnet 4.6 METR 50% time horizon
Grok 5 METR 50% time horizon
Will the METR 50% Time Horizon be "ambiguous" at the end of 2026?
63% chance
Will METR retire the 50% Time Horizon by EOY 2026
46% chance
METR 50% Time Horizon >100 hours by EoY?
25% chance