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MANIFOLD
Will xAI/SpaceX acquire Cursor in 2026?
145
Ṁ1kṀ69k
Dec 31
64%
chance

Acquihire doesn't count, they need to obtain the Cursor IP

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does announcement count, must operations be taken over, or something in the middle?

@Stralor IMO confirmation that the financial transaction has concluded should be the point where we consider Cursor acquired.

boughtṀ100YES

@Mochi cash me out 🥺

opened a Ṁ3,500 YES at 20% order

6k YES order up !! today only

filled a Ṁ24,000 NO at 20% order

@256 filled! did something happen?

@Bayesian poly insider. i live for the thrill of the gamble

@256 ah crap really

lol i'd def lean toward this being someone who took speculation on twitter seriously

the "insider" in question:

@Bayesian maybe. im happy with the odds though, i would have given this 15-17% odds without it, like as a baseline.