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MANIFOLD
Will xAI/SpaceX acquire Cursor in 2026?
151
Ṁ1kṀ94k
Dec 31
99%
chance

Acquihire doesn't count, they need to obtain the Cursor IP

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SpaceX (@SpaceX) on X
SpaceX has exercised the option to acquire @cursor_ai in an all-stock transaction with the goal of building the world’s most useful AI models. For the past few months, SpaceXAI has been jointly training a model with Cursor, which will be released in Cursor and Grok Build soon. We look forward to working closely with the Cursor team to advance our frontier AI capabilities

does announcement count, must operations be taken over, or something in the middle?

@Stralor IMO confirmation that the financial transaction has concluded should be the point where we consider Cursor acquired.

boughtṀ100YES

@Mochi cash me out 🥺

opened a Ṁ3,500 YES at 20% order

6k YES order up !! today only

filled a Ṁ24,000 NO at 20% order

@256 filled! did something happen?

@Bayesian poly insider. i live for the thrill of the gamble

@256 ah crap really

lol i'd def lean toward this being someone who took speculation on twitter seriously

the "insider" in question:

@Bayesian maybe. im happy with the odds though, i would have given this 15-17% odds without it, like as a baseline.