Will the US government crush OpenAI while Elon Musk is a government employee, in 2025?
3
1kṀ25512026
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves YES if, in @SaviorofPlant 's interpretation, the United States federal government has "crushed" OpenAI in 2025. It resolves NO once Elon Musk has not been a government employee (in a position such as DOGE) for a month.
See his market:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Answered by Savior of Plant in the original market: https://manifold.markets/SaviorofPlant/will-the-us-government-crush-openai#8z9nxkxtehu
Related questions
Related questions
Will Elon Musk's AI Company (xAI) exceed OpenAI in valuation anytime before 2035?
48% chance
Will the US government crush OpenAI while Elon Musk is a government employee?
16% chance
Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI?
3% chance
Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030?
30% chance
Will the U.S. Government sue OpenAI for violating antitrust laws by 2030?
63% chance
Will the Elon Musk-led group successfully gain control of OpenAI by EOY 2025
6% chance
Will OpenAI be dissolved at any point by end of 2025
5% chance
Will a US entity force OpenAI to delete any mainline GPT models by the end of 2025?
9% chance
Will OpenAI fold in 2025?
3% chance
Will OpenAI be acquired by another company the end of 2025?
5% chance