Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will the post-April 2026 frontier models be private models / sold to corps [ThePrimeagen prediction]
7
Ṁ1kṀ1.6k
Dec 31
6%
chance
3

resolves to whether this tweet is mostly true according to people I know who think seriously about AI, if at all ambiguous

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

mythos is kinda like that

@Bayesian yeah if OA were to do something simialr then this market would probably resolve yes. And I think they will (although not this month)

This isn't too far off OpenAI's stated intention:

#+begin_quote

We have set internal goals of having an automated AI research intern by September of 2026 running on hundreds of thousands of GPUs

#+end_quote

@jim good point tbf