@traders

doesn't citidal have more situational awareness positions than situational awareness

@jim this is true

i'm just instinctively betting no without knowing what this is about but tbh it's not clear how you'd define "bigger" here. like citadel's AUM don't meaningfully reflect how "big" it is

@Ziddletwix this is true i had not thought this through

@Bayesian i'm sure claude can come up with a meaningful definition of "bigness" that captures the scope of citadel's operation

resolves to a vibes based poll? Or yeah ask smartest AI at the time to vibescheck this

or do u mean ask current ai to come Up with a resolution criterion… hmmmm

@Bayesian i meant the latter but asking a 2029 ai seems fine too

@Ziddletwix I feel like the tweet must have been referring to AUM? Imo it wouldn't make sense for it to refer to number of employees or other stuff

@jack oh yeah it's in the replies, sholto says aum. Can we clarify this market is also aum, or if necessary n/a and open a new one?

@jack Bayesian can do either for this market (since when he made the market it wasn’t clear, can just N/A it and remake or stick to the new criteria). But the tweet does require clarification bc it’s kinda misleading/silly—citadel’s hedge fund AUM doesn’t really tell us that much, it isn’t the measure of citadel’s success.

(For a buncha reasons—citadel’s HF isn’t the famous part of citadel, AUM doesn’t really reflect HF success, etc).

ok I see how AUM is both kind of misleading for "SA be bigger than citadel" and the most correct resolution criterion to have in response to the tweet + comment. So I'll N/A this market and create a new one with the AUM criterion

Yeah I do agree that comparing to citadel is just weird and misleading.