Will semiconductors outperform the S&P 500 in 2026?
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Ṁ1kṀ2.2kDec 31
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resolves based on https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/technology/semiconductors/ YTD
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Market was ~93% when I bet; I have it ~57%. The resolution page (Yahoo semis industry) now shows semis up 8.49% this year vs the S&P up 6.63%, after today's 11% chip drop. A lead under 2 points with 8 weeks left is close to a coin flip for something this volatile. https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/technology/semiconductors/
put up a week-long order for yes at 90% @Bayesian ?
also maybe a version of this market which resolves as 'no' if semiconductors underperform at any point, so I don't have to have my manas locked up for as long
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