Will OpenAI go back on its voluntary commitment to AISI to share major new models w/AISI prior to release?
Plus
16
Ṁ30582026
38%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if OpenAI stops sharing major new models with AISI prior to release, before the end of 2025. If OpenAI, or AISI, closes before EOY 2025 and the market is still open, resolves NO. Otherwise, resolves NO at market close (EOY 2025).
(Note: Open/closed status of the model is irrelevant to this market.)
See also (market heavily inspired by these):
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Which (if any) "big tech" companies will "open source" their AI models in 2024?
Will xAI join the voluntary commitment by OpenAI/Anthropic to AISI to share major new models w/AISI prior to release?
65% chance
Will Meta join the voluntary commitment by OpenAI/Anthropic to AISI to share major new models w/AISI prior to release?
38% chance
Will Google join the voluntary commitment by OpenAI/Anthropic to AISI to share major new models w/AISI prior to release?
86% chance
Will OpenAI release a technical report on a model designed for AI alignment research? (2024)
8% chance
AI: Will someone open-source a $10M model by 2025?
74% chance
AI: Will someone open-source a $10M model by 2025?
74% chance
Will OpenAI allow near full access to the weights of their best-trained model to an external auditor by the end of 2030?
60% chance
What will happen to OpenAI next year?
When will OpenAI release a robotics model?