MANIFOLD
Will I have recovered from my illness (currently sore throat) on Jan 25 PM?
130
Ṁ1kṀ27k
resolved Jan 25
Resolved
NO
@Mochi yeah i do mean no, mb. I feel pretty much the same, waking up with a pretty unpleasant sore throat on day 2
Day 3. still sick. Still got a sore throat. Got a runny nose.
Day 4. I am still sick.

I woke up this morning, Jan 21, with a sore throat.

If I'm no longer sick by Jan 25 evening, resolves YES. The market resolves based on whether or not I feel sick at that time.

There's also a Jan 27 morning version:

  • Update 2026-01-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution will be based on vibes about whether the creator feels sick at the time, not specifically tied to whether they have a sore throat or any particular symptom.

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Rip, feel better soon :)

Alas, I think I’m on the way down from this nasty sickness, but it is not yet cured

@Bayesian I hope you get well soon!

@wolf ty!!

This market was a superspreader event

Liftoff

@bayesian Have you tried ivermectin?

no, do you think I should?

@Bayesian No! Would be fun to do an Improve my bread / improve my illness style market though

Guess who else has a sore throat now.

day 5. Judgement day. I think my soul is lighter on this last day. Perhaps I am getting ready to join the afterlife, as @Hakari roundaboutedly said. But perhaps, I am getting better. The sore throat is still in full force, but delusional that I am, I think I will be cured within the next 7 hours.

@Bayesian

I think you will magically recover by the 27th though, I've bet more than 1% of my NW on this.

@Bayesian The delusions have set in, he's a goner for sure.

Делать ставки не буду, но думаю, что ваши шансы выздороветь к 27 января такие 8да/1нет. Будьте здоровы!

gws

every yes holder pumping this market up gives me a bit more strength, a bit more hope

@Bayesian [insert 10-20 words of encouragement, generic]

@Eliza Sure! As an AI model, here are some generic words of encouragement...

@Bayesian I will lend you 10% of my strength for 5%/mo

@Bayesian now I'm pumping the Jan 27th market

@Bayesian what's the diagnosis? got any tests done?

@Hakari none. just a sore throat and a runny nose and a headache.

@Bayesian when is the last time you got a flu vaccine?

@Hakari no idea, anywhere between 1 and 20 years

@Bayesian how would you not know that?

@realDonaldTrump idk I don't remember

@Bayesian

@Bayesian it sounds like you're not even sick. Take some pill pills tomorrow afternoon and resolve yes

@Eliza

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