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You are at 200k, and you had a 60k dip. 140k is under the red line.

@Bayesian

@KongoLandwalker good catch! I saw that and forgot to connect it to this market.

Despite this working decently well so far, I expect making profits to get significantly harder during the rest of the year, with the upcoming changes to the manifold economy. Seems very tough to estimate the odds rn lol but it seems about right

where would you need to be at EOY?

@Stralor >398k M

@Bayesian which, upon saying that, is making me realize that this will be tough (unless manifold grows or wild stuff happens. that seems likely, but yeah if it doesn't and the year is boring then it's a bit of a hassle and i'll probably be less active in a few months)

Can we define this line? It’s been a minute but I’m pretty sure we’re looking for an “mX + B”type deal

@mattyb Let's say the first datapoint is

and second is

So

Y(X) = profit at time X

resolves to all((Y(X) > 0.01120819897625544 * X − 19055796.38381401) for X in {timestamps in 2024 but after market creation})

(unless I made a mistake in that formula in which case it resolves to whatever I meant to say instead of the mistake)