
Will human forecasting be made largely obsolete by AI within a month?
48
930Ṁ21kresolved Mar 24
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
see tweet:
Resolves to my personal opinion, or that of trusted manifold users if my opinion seems controversial at that time.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ141 | |
2 | Ṁ110 | |
3 | Ṁ41 | |
4 | Ṁ30 | |
5 | Ṁ21 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will we have better-than-human-aggregate forecasting AIs by the end of 2024?
4% chance
Will it take <=12 months for open-source AI forecasting to go from consistently worse than humans to broadly superhuman?
18% chance
Will AI be able to accurately predict natural disasters with a week's notice by 2030?
5% chance
When will AIs be good at predicting the future?
Will AI be smarter than any one human probably around the end of 2025?
16% chance
Once AI can predict the future better than any human it will be AGI
70% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 3100?
36% chance
Will AI wipe out AI before the year 2030?
4% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2900?
20% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 3200?
46% chance