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MANIFOLD
Will Gemini 3.0 Pro outperform Gemini 2.5 Pro on the LMArena (Without Style Control)
50
Ṁ1kṀ14k
resolved Nov 18
Resolved
YES

Gemini 2.5 Pro has had a wide lead in the lmarena text leaderboard (without style control) for many months now. Will Gemini 3 Pro pass it?

This means Gemini 3 Pro's arena score, the first time it is added to the lmarena leaderboard, being higher than Gemini 2.5 Pro's arena score at that time.

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bought Ṁ1,200 YES

@Bayesian Could you resolve it?

@Dulaman source?

@Bayesian trust me bro

@Bayesian A 'leaked model card' going around. Spotted it on HN.

https://pixeldrain.com/u/hwgaNKeH

boughtṀ250YES

@PB1234 wanna bet mroe? I placed a limit order at 83%

boughtṀ50YES

@Robincvgr do you want to bet more? maybe at 66%