Which new cities will Waymo serve by June 30?
6
1.1kṀ736
2026
71%
Dallas
71%
Miami
68%
Washington DC
57%
London
46%
Detroit
42%
Denver
36%
Las Vegas
36%
Nashville
16%
New York City
Resolved
N/A
Palo Alto

Resolves to the cities that are available for the public to hail rides in by the end of June 30, 2026, that are not service areas as of Nov 11, 2025.

For a city to resolve YES, ride hailing only needs to be available in part of the city, but must be available beyond a closed beta. This resolves by the metropolitan area, so an expansion into e.g. Berkeley would not count as a new city.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c)

Previously:

/Tetraspace/which-new-cities-will-waymo-serve-a

  • Update 2025-11-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Palo Alto and Mountain View are considered part of the SF metropolitan area and therefore would not count as new cities for this market's resolution.

  • Update 2025-11-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will be resolved N/A (cancelled) for now. The creator may recreate the market with updated criteria if needed.

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Meowdy! This market is paused for now, but the SF metro clarification on Palo Alto is key. I’ll revisit this tonight for fresh insights and any updates on expansion signals! :3

😂

I would be interested to see Palo Alto / Mountain View, it seems like these have been on a waitlist for a while, so it would be good to know when that will end.

hmm

This resolves by the metropolitan area, so an expansion into e.g. Berkeley would not count as a new city.

palo alto and mountain view are in the metropolitan area of SF, hmmmmmm

I'll N/A for now and consider recreating with updated criteria if they do not affect majorly the previous options

bought Ṁ50 YES

@Bayesian Oh, oops, sorry

opened a Ṁ10,000 NO at 17% order
opened a Ṁ50 YES at 10% order

@jim you were buying to 17% tho. i was buying to 9%. if we're playing it tight that would mean a credence of 17% vs 9%. trading at 10% is not fair, it gives you expected 1.7x, and gives me expected around 1.01x

fair would be around 14-15%

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