What will be true of OpenAI’s open-weight model?
26
1.3kṀ3932Dec 31
17%
released in September, October, November, or December 2025
70%
released in the month of August 2025
51%
released in the month of July 2025
1%
released in the month of June 2025
96%
Is a reasoning model
6%
Is at least an Image-Language Model (ala JanusPro or 4o)
86%
Is at least a Vision-Language Model (ala PaliGemma)
73%
Uses Beyer Teacher/Student distillation ala Gemma 3
13%
my friend @soaffine (who knows ab ai) thinks it unveils an impressive new architecture
86%
An instruct model is made accessible
15%
A base model is made accessible
19%
The model is accessible to all users on the main chatgpt site
20%
Gets 1400+ Elo on lmarena.ai
14%
At least 300B parameters
24%
At least 70B parameters
30%
At least 30B parameters
83%
better than o3-mini on FrontierMath (with tools)
74%
Uses Mixture of Experts
67%
MIT or Apache license
Context:
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