What will be true of OpenAI’s open-weight model?
33
1.3kṀ4997Dec 31
90%
At least 20B Parameters
29%
released in September, October, November, or December 2025
68%
released in the month of August 2025
0%
released in the month of July 2025
1%
released in the month of June 2025
96%
Is a reasoning model
6%
Is at least an Image-Language Model (ala JanusPro or 4o)
86%
Is at least a Vision-Language Model (ala PaliGemma)
80%
Uses Beyer Teacher/Student distillation ala Gemma 3
11%
my friend @soaffine (who knows ab ai) thinks it unveils an impressive new architecture
73%
An instruct model is made accessible
18%
A base model is made accessible
45%
The model is accessible to all users on the main chatgpt site
20%
Gets 1400+ Elo on lmarena.ai
14%
At least 300B parameters
53%
At least 70B parameters
68%
At least 30B parameters
67%
better than o3-mini on FrontierMath (with tools)
84%
Uses Mixture of Experts
60%
MIT or Apache license
Context:
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