![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2FBayesian%252F702276e728b6.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
What color will these options tend towards?
Basic
22
Ṁ11kresolved Mar 4
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolved
NO1
Resolved
YES8
Resolved
NO3
Resolved
YES6
Resolved
NO4
Resolved
NO5
Resolved
YES7
Resolved
YES2
Every day, at a random time of the day, I will check up on the market. For every option above 50%, it will go up by 1 color, closer to green (YES). For every option below 50%, it will go down by 1 color, closer to red (NO). If any option reaches the first color (red), it resolves NO. If any option reaches the last color (green) it resolves YES.
Here is the ordering of the colors:
![](https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2F8c43ywDG7L.png?alt=media&token=42a870f0-c218-4baf-8bbf-9c99c531d123)
![](https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2F_rD6uIolZV.png?alt=media&token=0beff62d-16a4-49e1-b68e-2b2e744e68d1)
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@Tumbles wait what if you need 51% to go up when it's in the middle, but 61, or 71, or wtv, to go up when you're toward the top, and vice versa when you're toward the bottom? tryina give an incentive for the losing side to fight back. but also then it might just make the other side not wanna be as bold, and increase the spread? idk
Day 3: 2:16 PM
![](https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FXAvOQ0Xjx-.png?alt=media&token=7b9fb34f-12aa-4f31-a924-60090fd28ce8)