What color will these options tend towards?
22
542
1.4K
resolved Mar 4
Resolved
NO
1
Resolved
YES
8
Resolved
NO
3
Resolved
YES
6
Resolved
NO
4
Resolved
NO
5
Resolved
YES
7
Resolved
YES
2

Every day, at a random time of the day, I will check up on the market. For every option above 50%, it will go up by 1 color, closer to green (YES). For every option below 50%, it will go down by 1 color, closer to red (NO). If any option reaches the first color (red), it resolves NO. If any option reaches the last color (green) it resolves YES.

Here is the ordering of the colors:

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@Tumbles wait what if you need 51% to go up when it's in the middle, but 61, or 71, or wtv, to go up when you're toward the top, and vice versa when you're toward the bottom? tryina give an incentive for the losing side to fight back. but also then it might just make the other side not wanna be as bold, and increase the spread? idk

@Bayesian That would be pretty neat for a sequel!

well if i ever need motivation not to trade on whalebait here it is lol

Balanced ⚖

@traders Day 1: here is the state of the colors at 6:50 PM EST, which was picked randomly during my waking hours:

the ones that are at 50% stay as they are, and the rest have been modified.

Day 2: 9:01 PM

Day 3: 2:16 PM

Day 4: 5:06 PM

Day 5: 1:10 PM

@Bayesian Day 6: 12:10 PM

Day 7: 7:39 PM

@Bayesian Day 8: 8:09PM

missed a day, today's the last day and last color

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