Time Person of the Year, exact headline [IMPOSSIBLE EDITION]
188
4.2kṀ85k
Dec 10
36%
Other
16%
Jensen Huang
15%
Artificial Intelligence
6%
Pope Leo XIV
3%
Donald Trump
2%
AI
2%
Zohran Mamdani
1.8%
Donald Trump and J.D. Vance
1.7%
A.I.
1.5%
Sam Altman
1.1%
The Immigrant
1.1%
Benjamin Netanyahu

The EXACT STRING of the MAIN Time Person of the Year (POTY) headline.

We ignore spacing and newlines. GenZ and Gen Z are the same headline, but they are different from genz (capitalization) or Generation Z.

  • Update 2025-12-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): There are multiple answer options with the same text but different capitalization (e.g., "Artificial Intelligence" vs "artificial intelligence"). These are treated as distinct answers and will resolve separately based on the exact capitalization used in Time's headline.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ695 NO

@ItsMe This would be kind of funny 😂

Not impossible either

There appear to be two identical "Artificial Intelligence" options

@Yakushi12345 Capitalization is different

opened a Ṁ50 YES at 4% order

is AI the same as A.I.?

@HillaryClinton no, only spacing and newlines are ignored

How is this so out of line with the other market? What does Other contain?

sold Ṁ26 NO

@JussiVilleHeiskanen the sheer number of slight permutations is a big part of it.

Nvidia's Jensun Huang is listed but "Jensen Huang of Nvidia" isnt.

They could do something unexpected like "The coming AI revolution" and you'd never be able to guess the exact choice.

opened a Ṁ100 YES at 13% order

@Bayesian wait what do you mean by "newlines"... like if the headline on the front cover formats "Pope Leo XIV" with each word on a different line, that's different than "Pope Leo XIV" all on one line??!??!?!

@bens also, is this the headline on the physical print edition? Often there are multiple different cover designs, so the line spacing might be different from one to the other?! And what about web edition?!

@bens I'm saying that the headline doesn't need to match in terms of spaces and newlines. so Gen Z and GenZ are the same exact headline for the purpose of this market.

also, is this the headline on the physical print edition?

Not sure. I'm hoping this is not going to be ambiguous. what I have in mind is "the main headline" but if there is no such thing then ig we're in a pickle

@Bayesian ohhhhh I see, I missed that the middle = was not a !=

@Bayesian What if part of the headline is obscured by the illustration? Will letters covered by the art be nixed from the string?

@Quroe if you find an example of it happening in the past i'll answer your question

@Bayesian Ah, they only seem to do that with the "TIME" element. Alright, well played; you called me out!

How no trader bonus for my option "67"

@121 From what I understand, your answer has to be the first answer somebody bets on on this market to trawl in the New Trader Bonus. If they bet on anything else before yours, they won't trigger it.

sold Ṁ0 YES

For example, I just put 1 mana on "67" YES (then immediately sold it) as my opening trade here. That triggered it for you, but not for Bayesian.

@Quroe hmm, that's odd

@bens The rules are different if the market is in independent mode. In that case, each answer is its own market and pays out a New Trader Bonus for each answer.

Ok anyone can add answers now

Stephen Colbert

bought Ṁ5 YES

You’ve set the market close date to dec 11, where is your intel coming from that the POTY will be released in the first half of December?

@KeithManning it's always in the first half of December

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy