[Short Fuse] Will the Second Place GOP Nevada caucus market’s Other resolve N/A

Ṁ150Ṁ11k

resolved Feb 9

Resolved

YES

ALL

I assumed it would, goofed, and will lose 150M if it does, and make those losses back if it does resolve N/A. See that market’s description and comments for more details

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bought Ṁ10 YES

I just looked up the rules for delegate allocation in the GOP Nevada caucus. Turns out you only need 3.9% of the vote:

https://www.usnews.com/news/politics/articles/2024-02-02/ap-decision-notes-what-to-expect-in-nevadas-presidential-primary-and-caucuses

So basically, they're just awarded proportionally, with a total of 26 up for grabs. Sounds like Binkley has a good chance to grab at least one.

bought Ṁ10 NO

@PlasmaBallin thanks! my money is safe maybe lol, but I'll hedge just in case

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