[Short Fuse] Will the Second Place GOP Nevada caucus market’s Other resolve N/A
6
150Ṁ11k
resolved Feb 9
Resolved
YES

I assumed it would, goofed, and will lose 150M if it does, and make those losses back if it does resolve N/A. See that market’s description and comments for more details

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ48
2Ṁ39
3Ṁ6
4Ṁ5
5Ṁ3
Sort by:
bought Ṁ10 YES

I just looked up the rules for delegate allocation in the GOP Nevada caucus. Turns out you only need 3.9% of the vote:

https://www.usnews.com/news/politics/articles/2024-02-02/ap-decision-notes-what-to-expect-in-nevadas-presidential-primary-and-caucuses

So basically, they're just awarded proportionally, with a total of 26 up for grabs. Sounds like Binkley has a good chance to grab at least one.

bought Ṁ10 NO

@PlasmaBallin thanks! my money is safe maybe lol, but I'll hedge just in case

People are also trading

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy