secret bayesian market
28
2.1kṀ5180
resolved May 17
Resolved
NO
45

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rip got rejected

@Bayesian from what

I suggest hashing the market description for questions like these if you plan to reveal later. Also describing valence and estimating probability ("YES would be good for me, I estimate it will happen w.p. 80% all things considered") is worthwhile in case others want to subsidize your incentives or insure you.

ty for suggestions but i probably won't share details or credences and i don't mind a subsequent lack in subsidies

opened a Ṁ500 NO at 40% order

ok if any of u fckers actually believe in bayesian here's an order

bought Ṁ750 NO

Today was the submission deadline and I submitted

?

@HillaryClinton

click on a secret market

ask what it's about

never gets old

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