Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
On which continent will the next Pope be born?
117
Ṁ1.4kṀ16k
resolved May 12
100%99.8%
North America
0.0%
Africa
0.0%
Asia
0.1%
Europe
0.0%
South America
0.0%
Antarctica
0.0%
Australia

The current pope (Francis) is from Argentina, making him the first pope to be from South America and the first pope from the Southern Hemisphere. In which continent will the pope after pope Francis be born?

Respectfully modified from @strutheo's excellent market:

/strutheo/which-country-will-the-next-pope-fo

Religion
Papal Elections
Pope Francis
Catholicism
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ1,536
2Ṁ535
3Ṁ279
4Ṁ223
5Ṁ208

People are also trading

Sort by:

This can resolve as North America :)

@Bayesian

@mods Resolves "North America"

I closed the market so @Bayesian will get a ping to resolve, as he's active but may have missed it. Bayesian? 👋

@shankypanky Thanks, didnt see the notifs

New zealanders in shambles

bought Ṁ50 YES

Is there a breakdown of where these Imperial Guards, I mean Cardinals, are from? Historically they were from Europe, but who knows anymore.

@KevinBlaw https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_papal_conclave

27% of the world's Catholics are in South America. I'll happily buy at under 1%.

@GregoryG they had their turn, surprised Africa is so low though

What does this resolve to if he is an islander? Specifically, what continent resolves if it is Luis Tagle? N/A!

@JussiVilleHeiskanen it's asia-colored on the map

Market: where will the next Pope to be born be born?

People are also trading