Manifold Matchups: Which side would win in a fight?
39
1.6kṀ9282
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
N/A
Rick Sanchez (NO) -VS- One Punch Man (YES)
Resolved
N/A
Andrew Tate (NO) -VS- Giacomo Casanova (YES) [seduction contest]
Resolved
YES
Manifold (NO) -VS- Polymarket (YES)
Resolved
NO
Donald Trump (NO) -VS- Joe Biden (YES)
Resolved
NO
In golf: Donald Trump (NO) -VS- Joe Biden (YES)
Resolved
NO
Neo from the Matrix (NO) -VS- John Wick (YES)
Resolved
NO
Mark Zuckerberg (NO) -VS- Elon Musk (YES)
Resolved
NO
Deadpool (NO) -VS- Wolverine (YES)
Resolved
NO
Rick Sanchez (NO) -VS- Ironman (YES)
Resolved
YES
Goku (NO) -VS- One Punch Man (YES)
Resolved
YES
Dumbledore (NO) -VS- Gandalf (YES)
Resolved
YES
Darth Vader (NO) -VS- Sauron (YES)
Resolved
YES
Kim Jong Un -VS- Vladimir Putin (YES)
Resolved
YES
100 chicken sized horses (NO) -VS- 1 horse sized chicken (YES)

Each answer is a fight. By default, the fight is physical (first to knockout/defeat/kill the other person). However, you can specify a different kind of battle if you wish.

For each answer, each user can bet NO shares to state the belief that the first person would win the fight, and YES to state the belief that the second person would win the fight. 1 person = 1 vote (per answer), so owning more shares does not make your vote count for more.

Every week, the market will close.

If an answer has a clear majority of YES holders, that answer will resolve YES.

If an answer has a clear majority of NO holders, that answer will resolve NO.

If it's very close, and votes are still coming in, the option will remain un-resolved.

The market will then re-open for new submissions, with a new close date the next week. This continues as long as the market is worth running.


It does not matter what % the market is at, and bots holding positions are also counted.

Some guidlines:

  • I encourage you not to bet options to extremes (1% or 99%) before a quite clear majority has been established. Otherwise, it prevents others from betting toward that extreme, and can bias the results.

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