🏅 Top traders

Are you making a March market?

@JoshSnider @bens
March AI release market!
https://manifold.markets/prismatic/march-2026-ai-model-releases?r=cHJpc21hdGlj

@Bayesian Why isn't this resolvable yet?

@prismatic is there API access available? I don't think so?

@bens we already discussed this before and he had agreed with me: https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/february-2026-ai-releases#it24j66q9ml

@prismatic that doesn't read to me like he's agreeing with you at all?

Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview resolves YES. It's live on Google AI Studio. Announcement: https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-3-1-pro/

MiniMax 2.5 is available on poe.com now. So, please resolve YES.

@MarcoMar @Bayesian

@MarcoMar was there a minimax announcement that tou are aware of

@Bayesian https://www.minimax.io/news/minimax-m25

@Bayesian Resolves YES

Why did GPT 5.3 NA?

@SorenJ bc it was ambiguous whether gpt5.3 codex counted or not

@Bayesian But the month isnt over so we could still get an unambiguous 5.3

@SorenJ yeah which is why i created a new option ‘gpt5.3 (excludes codex)’, which doesnt have this ambiguity