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MANIFOLD
@CrypticQccZ confirmed to be @SemioticRivalry before April?
14
Ṁ1kṀ16k
resolved Mar 19
Resolved
NO

  • Update 2026-02-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will wait until at least after the "Will a famous person bet on this" market resolves before resolving this market early to No.

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bought Ṁ3,891 NO

Are people against resolving this to No early? It was confirmed by semi. unless someone expects him to be lying / it being discovered before april

sold Ṁ3 YES

@Bayesian I am ambivalent.

@Bayesian Maybe wait until after the "Will a famous person bet on this" market closes? Obv I have a horse in this race because I decided to funny haha match what semi put in, but to the extent there's deceit going on wrt that market I'd expect there's a fair chance it gets resolved pretty shortly afterward. I'd think it's likely semi is being truthful but I don't know them well enough I'd feel confident about it.

@PhilipDowdell valid, will wait til at Least that other market resolves

@Bayesian can resolve?

@Bayesian I admit, my theory was very wrong.

@brod But, regardless, it's not April yet. You can enjoy interest on your position.

bought Ṁ250 NO

https://manifold.markets/ItsMe/will-a-famous-person-bet-on-this-ma-s6hE6Ih5Lt#2gv66db55o4

Hmm

anyone wanna do volume, @ me