ARC-AGI-2 Top Score in 2025
35
1.1kṀ15kDec 31
28.4 %
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
0.1%
0 - 10%
1.1%
10 - 20%
84%
20 - 30%
8%
30 - 40%
2%
40 - 50%
1.3%
50 - 60%
1.2%
60 - 70%
1%
70 - 80%
0.7%
80 - 90%
0.7%
90 - 100%
This market resolves according to the score of the submission that receives the Top Score Prize ($75k) in 2025.
https://arcprize.org/blog/announcing-arc-agi-2-and-arc-prize-2025
In case the top score is in between two buckets, the market will resolve to the higher range. For example, if the top score is 50%, the market would resolve YES to 50 - 60%.
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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The compo just ended. The final standings may be different. First place is NVARC with 27.64, but this may change.
https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/arc-prize-2025/leaderboard
bought Ṁ50 YES
@Jolliest Interesting, the leaderboard shows a score of 26.0% though.
Edit: Nvm, I was checking the other data point. I'm not sure if these submissions are eligible for the Kaggle prize though.
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