This market resolves according to the score of the submission that receives the Top Score Prize ($75k) in 2025.
https://arcprize.org/blog/announcing-arc-agi-2-and-arc-prize-2025
In case the top score is in between two buckets, the market will resolve to the higher range. For example, if the top score is 50%, the market would resolve YES to 50 - 60%.
See also:
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ938 | |
| 2 | Ṁ919 | |
| 3 | Ṁ480 | |
| 4 | Ṁ330 | |
| 5 | Ṁ233 |
People are also trading
@Jolliest not eligible for prize, competition closed on Nov 3rd and there are specifications on cost per entry
https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/arc-prize-2025/leaderboard?
The compo just ended. The final standings may be different. First place is NVARC with 27.64, but this may change.
https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/arc-prize-2025/leaderboard
@Jolliest Interesting, the leaderboard shows a score of 26.0% though.
Edit: Nvm, I was checking the other data point. I'm not sure if these submissions are eligible for the Kaggle prize though.