Netanyahu told Ronen Bar, director of Shabak (Shin Bet, Israeli secret service and counter-terrorism intelligence agency) he intends to fire him.
Shabak is responsible for the investigation of Qatargate, where Netanyahu's close political advisors are suspect in connections with the Qatari government, which is a main funder of Hamas. (As reported on https://www.ynet.co.il/news/article/syptgytjjl )
Ronen Bar has stated the termination is unlawful, and he will continue his role as Shabak director.
Chief Attorney Gali Baharav-Miara is the one who ordered the investigation, and she may take Ronen's side, complicating the termination process legally.
This market resolves YES if the termination is successful, or if Ronen Bar stops being director for any reason before April 30th.
Edgecases:
The termination will not be considered successful if it is reverted less than a week after taking effect.
The termination will not be considered successful if key figures within Shabak still recognize Ronen Bar as commander in chief of the organization until the resolution date.
I reserve the right to resolve N/A / 50% if anything weird happens.
I will not be trading in this market.
1,000I think most likely: Baharav-Miara tells Netanyahu he is in conflict of interest, Netanyahu does not bring the decision to a government vote, but someone else from Likud does, and it passes while Netanyahu abstains (resolves YES if this happens)
Chief Attorney Gali Baharav-Miara just confirmed the termination cannot take effect until "details about the legality of the decision are worked out"