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Resolves NO @BTE

This one can also resolve NO. We had seven hurricanes this season and I don't see four more of them forming within the next two days.

This is a very badly written question, and it looks like it misrepresents what the NC state weather agency forecasted (they forecasted 11-15 named storms, not 11-15 hurricanes). We will obviously not see 12 hurricanes this season, and therefore No is a no-brainer.

@Domer I assumed the question is about the Atlantic only since the description references it, but we are just now around the peak of the season with 5 hurricanes so far in the Atlantic and we could see a sixth within a week with Invest97L if it comes hurricane Nigel. So, yes it looks very unlikely to me also.

2 for 11 (Don and Franklin).

Maybe 3 for 11 if Idalia becomes a hurricane. Going by CSU's last forecast of 9, I'm betting NO.

@BTE I realized after reading this again, the question isn’t completely clear.

You are referring to number of hurricanes (Saffir-Simpson?) in the tropical Atlantic basin only, or worldwide?

https://public.wmo.int/en/our-mandate/focus-areas/natural-hazards-and-disaster-risk-reduction/tropical-cyclones/Naming

Tropical Cyclone Naming

WMO maintains rotating lists of names which are appropriate for each Tropical Cyclone basin. If a cyclone is particularly deadly or costly, then its name is retired and replaced by another one.

@parhizj I just realized this too. I had assumed the question was about named storms.

@NicoDelon I’m pretty sure he means Atlantic season though.

@NicoDelon Yes Atlantic season only. This was based on the NC weather service forecast and I assume they wouldn’t be counting Typhoons in the pacific. So only Atlantic hurricanes.

https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/2023-atlantic-hurricane-season-outlook#:~:text=NOAA's%20outlook%20for%20the%202023,of%2039%20mph%20or%20higher).

NOAA has 70% confidence but we are already ahead of schedule with Cindy, so I am betting YES.

NOAA predicts a near-normal 2023 Atlantic hurricane season

El Nino, above-average Atlantic Ocean temperatures set the stage