
The Turkey quake was 7.8. Only about a dozen recorded earthquakes were more powerful. Each .1 increase is a doubling of intensity.
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actually I would argue that you should resolve YES right away, there was an aftershock of 7.5 after the 7.8 one: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us6000jlqa/executive
@BTE I guess so, by the way that you stated the question (in the future), the description could be understood that it was after the 7.8 one. I'm still very certain (more than 95% as you can see) that there will be another one of at least 7.1
@BTE yes, I did some research instead of following my intuition lol. Earthquakes of more than 7.0 are quite common (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_earthquakes_in_2023):

and it is only February...