Will the Taiwan Policy Act be signed into law in 2022?
Global Macro
24
3
Ṁ501
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if the Taiwan Policy Act (TPA) is passed by Congress and signed into law by the president. Resolves NO if not.

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bought Ṁ60 of NO

Doesn't look like it's getting a vote in this congress.

predicted NO

https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/senate-bill/4428/text

bought Ṁ70 of NO

I'm not convinced it'll actually make it through. Biden is reportedly fairly wary of the bill in its current form.

predicted YES

@MattP In its current form they could easily override Biden’s veto.

predicted YES

@MattP I doubt Biden would risk the embarrassment. Especially since it’s so overwhelmingly popular.

predicted YES
bought Ṁ500 of YES

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