Will the average of polls FiveThirtyEight on the day of the Iowa Caucus have Trump >=50%?

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resolved Jan 16

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predictedYES

@BTE Please resolve 🙂

Edit: Sorry, didn't see Joshua already tagged you.

Resolves YES, Trump was 52.7 the whole day

@BTE this can resolve yes now, their Iowa model is frozen and won't update further, and trump is at 52.7%.

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