Will the average of polls FiveThirtyEight on the day of the Iowa Caucus have Trump >=50%?
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resolved Jan 16
Resolved
YES
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predicted YES

@BTE Please resolve 🙂

Edit: Sorry, didn't see Joshua already tagged you.

bought Ṁ1,000 of YES

Resolves YES, Trump was 52.7 the whole day

bought Ṁ2,000 of YES

@BTE this can resolve yes now, their Iowa model is frozen and won't update further, and trump is at 52.7%.