Will John Stewart run for president in 2024?
40
218
610
Jul 23
5%
chance

Resolves YES if John Stewart announces and files paperwork that he is running for President of the United States in 2024. Resolves NO if not.

Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
bought Ṁ4 of YES

I doubt it (but don't want to commit my Mana for that long), and also it's Jon Stewart

predicts YES

@barak There is $50. Use some of it to bet on this. Keep some for another bet or two.

predicts YES

@barak Not sure why this is a hard no. Trump is a paradigm changer. All prior norms are out the window.

predicts NO

@BTE It's such a hard no because he has given such a hard no in the past. Repeatedly. Even after Trump

predicts NO

@LivInTheLookingGlass I actually think the better argument is that most celebrities in general don’t run for office - there are tons of examples of people promising not to run for office and running anyway, though.

predicts YES

@Conflux Like Barack Obama notoriously