Will Dale Murphy be elected to the MLB HOF by the new Contemporary Era Committee?
Will Dale Murphy be elected to the MLB HOF by the new Contemporary Era Committee?
4
90Ṁ272resolved Dec 5
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ALL
The ballot in addition to Murphy consists of Barry Bonds, Roger Clemens, Albert Belle, Don Mattingly, Curt Shilling, Rafael Palmeiro and Fred McGriff. Source
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What is Manifold?
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Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
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