Will China's FDA grant approval to an mRNA COVID vaccine by the end of 2023?

710Ṁ9847

resolved Oct 10

Resolved

YES

ALL

Resolves YES if China approves a COVID vaccine based on mRNA technology by the end of 2023. Resolves NO if not.

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predictedYES

@BTE Is there a reason this hasn't already resolved positively, given the the CPSC vaccine was approved in March?

@mvdm Wow missed it. I want news alerts on my markets!! LOL. Thanks!

This sounds like this market is to low, atleast slightly

https://www.wsj.com/articles/china-delays-approval-of-biontech-covid-19-shot-to-preserve-confidence-in-chinese-vaccines-11630069630

@Svenbonne Thanks for sharing! Looks like way over bought NO!

predictedYES

in any case, this should happen this year with the CanSino's vaccine: https://www.wsj.com/articles/china-developed-mrna-covid-vaccine-starts-test-production-11673001366?st=na769jqmqbscvtm&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink

would this market resolve YES if it is approved for use, but not for the whole population?

predictedNO

@egroj Yes, it appears China has a program similar to the US Emergency Use Authorization so basically everything related to covid has limited approval only.

@BTE how about for foreign residents? It seems that might happen soon with BioNTech's vaccine https://www.wsj.com/articles/china-agrees-to-approve-biontech-s-covid-19-vaccines-for-foreigners-german-chancellor-says-11667556193?st=spaqmy5i7iztoum&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink

@egroj Sorry I missed this. No this does not count. General approval for Chinese. This is essentially an exemption for Germans.

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