Will China test a nuclear weapon before the end of 2025?
50
Ṁ1kṀ17kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The Chinese have said they will growth their strategic and tactical weapons stockpiles rapidly over the coming decade. This market resolves YES for the first test during the timeframe between the open and close dates conducted by the Chinese government.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ159 | |
| 2 | Ṁ151 | |
| 3 | Ṁ65 | |
| 4 | Ṁ60 | |
| 5 | Ṁ54 |
Sort by:
Growth of stockpiles doesn’t require testing of actual bombs. Nuclear physics is an old science. Nowadays the only thing worth testing is delivery.
Only reason for a test would be as intimidation.