Will Blake Masters concede the AZ Senate race by the end of November?
20
5
Ṁ2.5KṀ390
resolved Nov 23
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ249 | |
| 2 | Ṁ54 | |
| 3 | Ṁ35 | |
| 4 | Ṁ27 | |
| 5 | Ṁ13 |
Sort by:
This is an interesting market failure. He conceded on the 15th (source), and it seems like nobody here noticed. The market just assumed that if he had conceded someone would have bet it up to 99%, and so the market instead started betting it down as we got closer to the end of November.
@jack Yep, also nobody bid on the other market for same question by end of the year. It's like it slipped under everyone's radar.
Related questions
Which party will win the US Presidency in Arizona?
Will Ruben Gallego (D) win the 2024 Arizona Senate election?
56% chance
Will the candidate who wins Arizona win the 2024 POTUS election?
67% chance
Will Arizona stay blue in 2024
52% chance
Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in Arizona?
53% chance
Will Arizona vote the same party for Senate and president in 2024?
72% chance
What will be the margin in Arizona's Senate election?
Will Cornell West appear on the ballot in Arizona in Nov 2024?
48% chance
Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Arizona?
66% chance
Will Blake Masters endorse Trump?
83% chance