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MANIFOLD
Will Alexi Navalny be found by the end of 2023?
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resolved Dec 25
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YES

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Alexei Navalny is being moved to a new Russian prison - authorities

MOSCOW, Dec 15 (Reuters) - Jailed Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny is being moved to a new prison in another part of the country and his arrival there will be disclosed in line with the law, Russia's prison service was cited as saying on Friday.

Navalny's allies, who had been preparing for his expected transfer to a "special regime" colony, the harshest grade in Russia's prison system, say he has not been seen by his lawyers since Dec. 6 and have raised the alarm about his whereabouts.

The process of moving prisoners by rail across the world's largest country can take weeks, with lawyers and family unable to obtain information about their location and well-being until they reach their destination.

Sota.vision, an online Russian-language news outlet which does a lot of court reporting, said a note on Navalny from the prison service in the Vladimir region, where Navalny was being held in a penal colony 235 km (145 miles) east of Moscow, had been read out at a court session on Friday.

@BTE , will the Russian government's eventual announcement of his arrival at the new prison be counted as his having been "found," or will additional confirmation be required?

Does he need to be found alive for this to resolve yes?

@BTE thank you

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russias-navalny-removed-prison-colony-whereabouts-unclear-supporters-2023-12-11/

It would be good to add some context and conditions for the resolution. Fun idea for a market though

Maybe with his concrete flippers on.