Will a GOP-led Congressional delegation visit Taiwan by the end of 2022?
Global Macro
11
Ṁ140
resolved Sep 14
Resolved
YES

Aug 15, 9:11am: Will a GOP Congressional delegation visit Taiwan by the end of 2022? → Will a GOP-led Congressional delegation visit Taiwan by the end of 2022?

Resolves YES if a delegation of GOP Congressman and/or Senators make a formal political visit to Taiwan similar to the visit made by Speaker Pelosi earlier this month. Resolves NO if not.

Aug 7, 8:59am: See the related questions below for arbitrage opportunities:

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bought Ṁ250 of YES

This resolves with Martha Blackburn’s visit at the end of August.

sold Ṁ35 of NO

Can you clarify on precisely what you mean by the title? Does the delegation have to be entirely GOP, or does a bipartisan delegation count? If the latter, does it have to be led by a GOP congressperson? Greater than 50% GOP?

@MattP Clarified the title to say "GOP-led". So any member of the GOP leading a group of members from either house or party. Two delegations have gone in the last two weeks, both led by Democrats.

bought Ṁ5 of NO

Obvious arb 👆

predicted YES

Embedding related markets inside the description is a cool feature.

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