If she does not even run this shall resolve NO.
Dec 10, 1:42am: Will Kyrsten Sinema win a single county in the 2024 Arizona Senate election? → Will Kyrsten Sinema win at least one county in the 2024 Arizona Senate election?
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She must file about 42,000 valid signatures from Arizona voters by April 1. That's six times the signatures required for candidates running with a party.
https://www.axios.com/local/phoenix/2024/02/20/sinema-campaign-reelection
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema’s (I-Ariz.) fundraising cratered to her lowest quarterly total yet this cycle as she stares down an April deadline to file for reelection...With nearly $11 million in her campaign account
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/01/30/kyrsten-sinema-donations-00138738
Related markets:
Will Sinema run? https://manifold.markets/BRTD/will-kyrsten-sinema-run-for-reelect
Will Sinema win? https://manifold.markets/lisamarsh/will-kyrsten-sinema-win-the-2024-se