🏅 Top traders

Nope. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/independent-sen-kyrsten-sinema-will-not-run-re-election-arizona-rcna124499

Sen. Kyrsten Sinema’s (I-Ariz.) fundraising cratered to her lowest quarterly total yet this cycle as she stares down an April deadline to file for reelection...With nearly $11 million in her campaign account

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/01/30/kyrsten-sinema-donations-00138738

She's running. Is this a market on whether she'll be in the ballot?

@MP at this point yes, she could drop out still.

@BRTD since she filed a statement of candidacy, she's legally running for reelection.

https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/S8AZ00197/1672721/

@MickBransfield She could however drop out before the deadline to remove her name from the ballot.

@BRTD so is that the criteria for resolving the question? If so, what happens if her campaign screws up ballot access and runs as a write-in?

@MickBransfield she would still be running for re-election actively so I'd say YES.

@BRTD If there is no clear criteria than I'm bailing

@MickBransfield the criteria is that she either appears on the ballot, or is an officially recognized write-in candidate.

Literally forgot she was an independent lmao, bowing out