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MANIFOLD
Will Kevin McCarthy resign his House seat before the end of the current session?
27
Ṁ510Ṁ9.5k
resolved Dec 19
Resolved
YES

This shall resolve YES if Kevin McCarthy resigns his House seat early.

Market context
118th Congress
Speaker of the House election
Matt Gaetz
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Does resigning mean leaving his seat or announcing? That could make the difference for this market

@DanMan314 he's leaving at the end of this year.

@DanMan314 Leaving his seat. Once he actually resigns it shall resolve YES.

@BRTD He just resigned, officially.

"The resignation letter of ex-Speaker Kevin McCarthy was just read to the House. "I hereby submit my resignation effective on December 31, 2023, as United States Representative of the 20th District of California."

I just heard him on NPR radio discussing whether he is going to run again. If he considering running it’s unlikely he will resign mid-term. He probably won’t run again though.

predictedYES

promising: https://thehill.com/homenews/house/4340739-swalwell-predicts-mccarthy-leave-congress/

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