Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if Eric Swalwell completes his current term in the U.S. House of Representatives, which ends at noon ET on January 3, 2027. The market resolves to NO if he vacates his seat before this date for any reason, including resignation, death, or expulsion.

The official record of House members can be found at house.gov. If the seat becomes vacant, reputable news outlets such as the Associated Press, Reuters, or major national newspapers will be used to confirm the vacancy.

Background

Eric Swalwell represents California's 14th congressional district. Members of the House serve two-year terms, and the current term began on January 3, 2025, and is scheduled to conclude on January 3, 2027.

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