Will "Avatar: The Way of Water" be the top grossing domestic (US/Canada) movie released in 2022? | Manifold Markets

closes Jul 1

Entertainment and Pop Culture

Will "Avatar: The Way of Water" be the top grossing domestic (US/Canada) movie released in 2022?

23%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Currently Top Gun: Maverick is the top grossing domestic movie of 2022, with a domestic gross of $718,318,561.

At the time of this market's creation Avatar: The Way of Water has a domestic gross of $464,958,728.

If it exceeds Top Gun: Maverick's domestic numbers this market shall resolve YES.

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When will this market resolve NO? End of June?

@Conflux once it leaves theaters.

Horace Heis predicting NO at 25%

@BRTD What if it gets a rerelease at a later date?

Yoavbought Ṁ20 of YES

https://collider.com/avatar-2-the-way-of-water-domestic-box-office-538-million/

Horace He sold Ṁ110 NO from 19% to 23%

K sold Ṁ20 YES from 22% to 19%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ15/Ṁ100 NO at 22% (cancelled)

Neon Nuke sold Ṁ119 NO from 18% to 23%

William D'Alessandro bought Ṁ10 NO at 18%

K sold Ṁ19 YES from 22% to 18%

Cohen Wallace sold Ṁ5 YES at 22%

Cohen Wallace bought Ṁ5 YES at 22%

Cohen Wallace sold Ṁ20 YES from 25% to 22%

Conflux sold Ṁ25 YES from 30% to 25%

Conflux bought Ṁ25 YES from 25% to 30%

Neon Nuke bought Ṁ60 NO from 29% to 25%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ21/Ṁ100 NO at 29% (cancelled)

Cohen Wallace bought Ṁ25 YES from 26% to 31%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ4/Ṁ100 YES at 26% (cancelled)

Horace He bought Ṁ100 NO from 33% to 25%

Enaz bought Ṁ25 YES from 28% to 33%

Dustin bought Ṁ10 YES from 26% to 28%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ39/Ṁ46 NO at 26% (cancelled)

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ46/Ṁ100 NO at 29% (cancelled)

Enaz bought Ṁ100 YES from 14% to 33%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ8/Ṁ100 YES at 14% (cancelled)

Horace He sold Ṁ36 YES from 19% to 13%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ24/Ṁ100 NO at 19% (cancelled)

Neon Nuke bought Ṁ140 NO from 29% to 20%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ13/Ṁ100 NO at 29% (cancelled)

Enaz bought Ṁ50 YES from 20% to 30%

Neon Nuke bought Ṁ65 NO from 24% to 20%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ12/Ṁ100 NO at 24% (cancelled)

Arrrrrrr 🤖Bot sold Ṁ101 NO from 19% to 25%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ23/Ṁ100 NO at 19% (cancelled)

Arrrrrrr 🤖Bot bought Ṁ100 NO from 26% to 20%

Horace He bought Ṁ20 YES from 22% to 26%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ22/Ṁ100 NO at 22% (cancelled)

Horace He bought Ṁ30 YES from 17% to 23%

Neon Nuke filled limit order Ṁ127/Ṁ500 NO at 17% (cancelled)

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ14/Ṁ100 NO at 24% (cancelled)

Neon Nuke bought Ṁ55 NO from 30% to 25%

Neon Nuke bought Ṁ60 NO from 37% to 30%

Yoav sold Ṁ6 YES from 38% to 37%

Yoav sold Ṁ20 YES from 43% to 38%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ12/Ṁ100 YES at 43% (cancelled)

Yoav sold Ṁ25 YES from 46% to 40%

Yoav bought Ṁ20 YES from 42% to 46%

Yoav bought Ṁ20 YES from 37% to 42%

Yoav bought Ṁ20 YES from 32% to 37%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ16/Ṁ100 NO at 32% (cancelled)

Yoav bought Ṁ20 YES from 29% to 34%

Predictor 🔥 bought Ṁ10 YES from 26% to 29%

brwa bought Ṁ10 YES from 23% to 26%

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