Will Raf Manji (The Opportunities Party candidate) win the Ilam electorate in the 2023 New Zealand general election?
B avatar
benjsmith
14
closes Oct 13
12%
chance

Will Raf Manji (The Opportunities Party candidate) win the Ilam electorate in the 2023 New Zealand general election?

This will get The Opportunities Party seats in Parliament.

Get Ṁ500 play money

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JulianLees avatar
Julian Leespredicts NO

I saw there was national party poll a few weeks back, anything further releases for Ilam recently?

capybara avatar
capybought Ṁ5 of YES

For any party candidate: https://manifold.markets/capybara/will-top-win-a-seat-in-nz-general-e?r=Y2FweWJhcmE

Will TOP win a seat in NZ general election 2023
50% chance. Resolves yes if one or more candidates representing the TOP political party win a seat in parliament in the 2023 general election. I expect resolution should be possible within a week of the election. The closing date is set longer, just in case there are any delays.