Will Raf Manji (The Opportunities Party candidate) win the Ilam electorate in the 2023 New Zealand general election?
New Zealand•NZ Politics•2023 New Zealand General Election
15
288
Ṁ230
resolved Oct 14
Resolved
NO

Will Raf Manji (The Opportunities Party candidate) win the Ilam electorate in the 2023 New Zealand general election?

This will get The Opportunities Party seats in Parliament.

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predicted YES

I tried really hard to stan for raf by betting hard on yes on this market against all odds but it was not to be. thanks to everyone who took my money!

predicted NO

I saw there was national party poll a few weeks back, anything further releases for Ilam recently?

bought Ṁ5 of YES

For any party candidate: https://manifold.markets/capybara/will-top-win-a-seat-in-nz-general-e?r=Y2FweWJhcmE

Will TOP win a seat in NZ general election 2023
50% chance. Resolves yes if one or more candidates representing the TOP political party win a seat in parliament in the 2023 general election. I expect resolution should be possible within a week of the election. The closing date is set longer, just in case there are any delays.

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